Nothing is absolutely certain. Even the most proven theory might be revised. Probability is our best lens on truth.
Live by expected value. Consider both likelihood and stakes. Small probabilities matter when consequences are large.
Update your beliefs with evidence. Bayes' theorem is not just mathematics; it is epistemology made rigorous.
The probable often fails to occur. The improbable often happens. Single outcomes don't validate predictions.
Risk and uncertainty differ. Risk can be calculated; uncertainty cannot. Learn to navigate both.
Overconfidence is the deadliest bias. Calibrate your confidence to match your actual accuracy.
The world is not deterministic at its foundation. Randomness is woven into reality's fabric.
Make peace with probability. You cannot control outcomes, only stack the odds.
Live well with uncertainty. Dance on shifting ground. Build on foundations that flex rather than shatter.